Rapidly-mixing Markov Chains

نویسنده

  • James Vanderhyde
چکیده

INTRODUCTION Andrei Andreyevich Markov was a Russian mathematician born in 1856. Markov's main interests were in number theory, continued fractions, and approximation theory. He studied under P. Chebyshev and worked in the field of probability theory. Markov pioneered work in the area of stochastic processes by creating a model called a Markov chain—a random walk on a state space. His work has led to much research in many fields, and many ideas now bear his name, from " hidden Markov models " to " sparse Markov transducers. " Of particular importance is the concept of a Markov chain. A Markov chain defines a method for a random walk on a state space Ω. That is, we have a complete directed graph where each vertex is a possible state of nature, and the weight of an edge represents the probability of moving from one state to another. The adjacency matrix P, where P ij is the probability of moving from state i to state j, is the essence of the Markov chain. The key property of a Markov chain is that the next step depends only on the current location, with no regard to history. The idea of the " chain " is the random walk on the state space. For example, we may start a particular state i. Then, for each state j, we have probability P ij of moving on to state j (note that this probability may be 0, and that it is possible that the probability of staying put may be positive). After each step, we have a new probability distribution on the state space. If we represent this distribution π (t) at time t as a row vector, we have π (t) P = π (t +1). We are interested in Markov chains that are connected, which means that from any state, every other state is reachable with positive probability, and aperiodic, which means basically that there is no partitioning of the state space among which the Markov chain oscillates. If the state space is finite and the Markov chain has these two properties, we say the Markov chain is ergodic. The Fundamental Theorem of Markov Chains says that if the Markov chain is ergodic, the probability distribution of the state space converges to a unique distribution π. Note that πP = π , and for this reason we call π the stationary distribution. One other …

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تاریخ انتشار 2001